Concepts / Detection and response

Detection and response

True and false positives

Also called false positive, true positive, false negative, alert fidelity, base rate

An alert's worth is how often it is a real attack versus noise, which decides whether anyone acts on it.

A true positive is an alert that really is an attack; a false positive is a harmless event that tripped the alert anyway; a false negative is an attack that raised no alert at all. Detectors drowning in false positives get ignored, so the ones defenders trust are those that are almost always right — a honeypot touch, a beacon to a known-bad address. Reading a capture after the fact is the opposite trade: slow, but you confirm exactly what happened.

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